Finance · Open for opinions
Will the IMF revise downward its global growth projection for 2027 in the January 2027 WEO update?
The October 2026 WEO, titled 'Resilience Under Strain, Urgent Choices', highlighted growing growth divergences, renewed inflationary… 86 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: February 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions
Resolution rules
The October 2026 WEO, titled 'Resilience Under Strain, Urgent Choices', highlighted growing growth divergences, renewed inflationary pressures, and mounting downside risks in the global economy, with the IMF urging the urgent rebuilding of fiscal space.
Source: www.imf.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na atualização do World Economic Outlook (WEO Update) divulgada pelo FMI em janeiro de 2027. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a projeção de crescimento do PIB mundial para 2027 for inferior à projeção publicada no WEO de outubro de 2026; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.