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Politics · Open for opinions

Will more than 3 US states issue formal regulatory orders (cease-and-desist, bans, or official investigations) against prediction market platforms by March 2027?

After Connecticut initiated action against nine platforms, the state regulatory trend against prediction markets could spread to… 25 opinions, 68% No

  • Yes — 32%
  • No — 68%

Deadline: March 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions

Resolution rules

After Connecticut initiated action against nine platforms, the state regulatory trend against prediction markets could spread to other US states.

Source: www.ctinsider.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução por meio de registros públicos em órgãos reguladores estaduais dos EUA ou cobertura jornalística de fontes primárias (ex.: comunicados dos próprios estados) confirmando ao menos 4 estados com ações regulatórias formais distintas contra plataformas de mercados de previsão até 2027-03-11.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.

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Will more than 3 US states issue formal regulatory orders… — 68% No · VoxFi