Science · Open for opinions
Will the 2026 El Niño be confirmed as the strongest ever recorded by NOAA/WMO?
According to WIRED (source 1), the 2026 El Niño is on track to be the strongest ever recorded. 25 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
According to WIRED (source 1), the 2026 El Niño is on track to be the strongest ever recorded. Official confirmation depends on weather data still being collected.
Source: www.wired.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se a NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) ou a Organização Meteorológica Mundial (OMM) publicar relatório oficial até 2027-03-01 classificando o evento El Niño de 2026 como o mais intenso da série histórica de registros. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.