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Will average US gasoline prices return to levels before the start of the US-Iran conflict by February 3, 2027?

Source [1] (PBS NewsHour, 02/08/2026) notes that gasoline prices have not yet returned to pre-war levels with Iran, and that fuel… 21 opinions, 52% No

  • Yes — 48%
  • No — 52%

Deadline: February 3, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

Source [1] (PBS NewsHour, 02/08/2026) notes that gasoline prices have not yet returned to pre-war levels with Iran, and that fuel costs impact the entire transportation chain, raising overall inflation in the US.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se a média nacional semanal do preço da gasolina reportada pela EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration, www.eia.gov) atingir ou ficar abaixo do nível registrado na última semana completa anterior ao início dos ataques militares dos EUA ao Irã. A data de referência do nível pré-guerra será determinada pelo relatório semanal da EIA imediatamente anterior ao conflito.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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