Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish a formal notice of proposed rulemaking regarding event contracts by November 30, 2026?
Consider formal regulatory actions issued by the US regulatory authority between 10/17 and 11/30. 81 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider formal regulatory actions issued by the US regulatory authority between 10/17 and 11/30.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 17/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a CFTC (Commodity Futures participação Commission) aprovar ou publicar no Federal Register proposta formal de regulamentação para contratos de eventos de previsão até 30/11/2026, conforme registros oficiais em cftc.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.