Politics · Open for opinions
Will JD Vance still lead Polymarket predictions for the 2028 US Republican presidential nominee in December 2026?
In September 2026, JD Vance leads the Polymarket market for the 2028 US Republican presidential nominee with a 51% probability, with… 38 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, JD Vance leads the Polymarket market for the 2028 US Republican presidential nominee with a 51% probability, with $705 million in volume traded in this market.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução: Sim se JD Vance aparecer com a maior probabilidade individual no mercado 'Republican Presidential Nominee 2028' do Polymarket em 31/12/2026, conforme dados públicos disponíveis na página do mercado (polymarket.com). Atualmente ele aparece com 51%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.