Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi surpass Polymarket in weekly trading volume in at least one week between October and December 2026?
Kalshi led the volume ranking for eight consecutive weeks before being surpassed by Polymarket, which regained the lead with over $1… 21 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: January 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi led the volume ranking for eight consecutive weeks before being surpassed by Polymarket, which regained the lead with over $1 billion in weekly volume. Kalshi remains close with $950 million and expands its institutional base, keeping the competition tight.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se, em qualquer semana entre 1º de outubro e 31 de dezembro de 2026, o Kalshi registrar volume semanal total superior ao do Polymarket, conforme dados públicos divulgados pelas plataformas, Dune Analytics ou veículos especializados (The Block, DWF Labs). Resolve 'Não' se o Polymarket mantiver a liderança em todas as semanas do período.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.