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Technology · Open for opinions

Will the U.S. federal AI law, if passed in 2026, include a preemption clause for state risk transparency regulations?

The legislative debate in the U.S. 20 opinions, 25% Yes, it will include total preemption of state laws

  • Yes, it will include total preemption of state laws — 25%
  • Yes, it will include partial preemption — 25%
  • No, it will not include preemption — 25%
  • No bill will be passed in 2026 — 25%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The legislative debate in the U.S. includes tension between federal and state AI regulation: states like California have risk transparency laws that could be preempted by federal legislation, a central theme in the two bills introduced in July 2026.

Source: outraspalavras.net

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no texto final de qualquer lei federal de IA promulgada nos EUA até 31/12/2026, conforme registro no Congress.gov e publicação no Federal Register. Se nenhuma lei for promulgada, resolve com 'Nenhum projeto será aprovado em 2026'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes, it will include total preemption of state laws has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.

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