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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Ibovespa end 2026 with a cumulative gain of more than 10% compared to its 2025 close?

The Seu Dinheiro article (10/08/2026) mentions the 'recent rise of Ibovespa driven by expectations of reforms', suggesting… 78 opinions, 53% No

  • Yes — 47%
  • No — 53%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

The Seu Dinheiro article (10/08/2026) mentions the 'recent rise of Ibovespa driven by expectations of reforms', suggesting significant movement in the index during the pre-election period.

Source: www.seudinheiro.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com 'Sim' se o Ibovespa registrar variação positiva acima de 10% no acumulado do ano ao fechar pregão de 30/12/2026, conforme dados oficiais da B3 (b3.com.br).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.

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