Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi surpass Polymarket in monthly trading volume in the United States by December 2026?
Kalshi raised $300 million and doubled its valuation to $50 billion, being pointed out as a platform that is surpassing Polymarket in… 69 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi raised $300 million and doubled its valuation to $50 billion, being pointed out as a platform that is surpassing Polymarket in the American market.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se relatório público verificável (ex.: dados da CFTC, press release das empresas ou cobertura jornalística de veículo de referência como Bloomberg ou Reuters) confirmar que o volume mensal de negociações da Kalshi superou o da Polymarket nos EUA até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.