Finance · Open for opinions
What will be the accumulated IPCA for the year 2026?
The environment of fiscal and political uncertainty described by economists tends to pressure inflation via… 81 opinions, 36% Between 4.5% and 5.5%
- Below 4.5% — 10%
- Between 4.5% and 5.5% — 36%
- Between 5.5% and 6.5% — 35%
- Above 6.5% — 20%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
The environment of fiscal and political uncertainty described by economists tends to pressure inflation via exchange rates and expectations, making the outcome of the 2026 IPCA relevant for markets.
Source: www.bloomberglinea.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026, divulgado pelo IBGE em janeiro de 2027 (nota oficial de inflação). A faixa que contiver o valor publicado será a opção vencedora.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Between 4.5% and 5.5% has 36% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 64 points, a wrong one costs about 36.