World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate at least once before the end of 2026?
Economists polled by Reuters say the Fed is likely to keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026 amid inflation uncertainty. 21 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists polled by Reuters say the Fed is likely to keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026 amid inflation uncertainty. The debate over the timing of the first cut is the main theme in global financial markets.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base nas decisões oficiais do FOMC publicadas no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Considera-se 'Sim' se houver redução de qualquer magnitude na taxa-alvo dos fed funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.