Science · Open for opinions
What will be the official NOAA classification of El Niño for the October–December 2026 quarter?
A study published on August 27, 2026, in the journal Science, based on coral records from the last thousand years in… 20 opinions, 25% Neutral / La Niña
- Neutral / La Niña — 25%
- Weak El Niño — 25%
- Moderate El Niño — 25%
- Strong or very strong El Niño — 25%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A study published on August 27, 2026, in the journal Science, based on coral records from the last thousand years in the Galápagos Islands, indicates that El Niño is intensifying with climate change, reaching unprecedented levels in the paleoclimatic record.
Source: www.yahoo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no relatório trimestral oficial da NOAA (Climate Prediction Center) referente ao período outubro–dezembro de 2026, publicado até 20 de janeiro de 2027. A categoria utilizada será a do índice ONI (Oceanic Niño Index) oficial.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Neutral / La Niña has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.