Technology · Open for opinions
Will the United States pass comprehensive federal AI regulation legislation by April 2027?
In October 2026, the US faces a regulatory impasse over AI due to pressure from industry companies and government opposition to… 79 opinions, 90% No
- Yes — 10%
- No — 90%
Deadline: April 14, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, the US faces a regulatory impasse over AI due to pressure from industry companies and government opposition to strict rules, leaving enforcement as the responsibility of the companies themselves.
Source: jornal.usp.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
O mercado resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos EUA aprovar e o presidente assinar uma lei federal de regulamentação abrangente de inteligência artificial publicada no Federal Register até 14/04/2027. Não contam ordens executivas isoladas ou regulamentos setoriais parciais. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 90% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 10 points, a wrong one costs about 90.