World · Open for opinions
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 exceed 5% (annualized rate)?
Trump said US growth could reach 20%, a rate seen only once since World War II. 21 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump said US growth could reach 20%, a rate seen only once since World War II. Economists and markets question the viability of such a projection amid inflation and geopolitical conflicts.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na primeira estimativa (advance estimate) do PIB do terceiro trimestre de 2026 divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) dos EUA (bea.gov). Resolvido como 'Sim' se a taxa de crescimento anualizada for superior a 5,0%. Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.