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Will Ukraine and Russia formalize a joint ceasefire agreement by 11/30/2026?
Consider bilateral ceasefire announcements between 10/11 and 11/30 following recent divergent statements between the leaders. 79 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider bilateral ceasefire announcements between 10/11 and 11/30 following recent divergent statements between the leaders.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 11/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos da Ucrânia e da Rússia anunciarem e formalizarem conjuntamente um acordo oficial de cessar-fogo bilateral até 30/11/2026, conforme confirmado por comunicados oficiais de ambos os governos ou reportado por Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.