Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi or Polymarket be banned from operating in the United States by March 2027?
Ongoing regulatory debate regarding whether prediction market platforms with real-money betting on political outcomes should be banned. 38 opinions, 87% No
- Yes — 13%
- No — 87%
Deadline: March 18, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
Ongoing regulatory debate regarding whether prediction market platforms with real-money betting on political outcomes should be banned. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange; Polymarket recently resumed operations in the U.S.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se reguladores federais dos EUA (CFTC, SEC ou decisão judicial federal) emitirem ordem proibindo operações da Kalshi ou do Polymarket no país até 18/03/2027. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 87% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 13 points, a wrong one costs about 87.