Technology · Open for opinions
Will Anthropic publish a report or paper detailing findings from its biology lab by October 31, 2026?
Consider technical publications between 09/24 and 10/31 after the company declared relevant progress in its biology division. 62 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 62 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider technical publications between 09/24 and 10/31 after the company declared relevant progress in its biology division.
Source: techcrunch.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 24/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Anthropic publicar em seu site oficial (anthropic.com) ou em periódico/repositório científico um artigo ou relatório técnico detalhando as descobertas de seu laboratório de biologia até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.