Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial dollar close October 2026 below R$5.20?
The commercial dollar plummeted 4.12% on 10/05/2026, closing at R$5.00, after the first-round election results showed a surge in… 76 opinions, 68% Yes
- Yes — 68%
- No — 32%
Deadline: November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
The commercial dollar plummeted 4.12% on 10/05/2026, closing at R$5.00, after the first-round election results showed a surge in bolsonarism and a congressional makeup considered more favorable by the financial market.
Source: investidor10.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se a cotação de fechamento do dólar comercial (PTAX venda) divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil referente ao último dia útil de outubro de 2026 (30/10/2026) for inferior a R$5,20. Fonte: Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.