Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi or Polymarket be banned from operating in at least 5 additional US states by December 31, 2026?
A CNN report from 08/30/2026 reveals that 44 of the 50 US state attorneys general have joined the casino industry and consumer… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A CNN report from 08/30/2026 reveals that 44 of the 50 US state attorneys general have joined the casino industry and consumer advocacy groups in opposition to prediction market platforms, describing the conflict as a 'total war'. Political pressure for state restrictions
Source: www.cnn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se ordens judiciais, regulatórias ou legislativas de pelo menos 5 estados americanos (além dos já existentes em 31/08/2026) impedirem formalmente a operação da Kalshi ou da Polymarket em seus territórios até 31/12/2026. Fonte: comunicados oficiais das plataformas ou registros dos respectivos procuradores-gerais estaduais.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.