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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the 10-year US Treasury yield close below 5.00% before December 31, 2026?

The 10-year US Treasury yield was near 5.25% in the last recorded session, remaining at high levels even with the rise in major US… 78 opinions, 68% No

  • Yes — 32%
  • No — 68%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

The 10-year US Treasury yield was near 5.25% in the last recorded session, remaining at high levels even with the rise in major US stock indices driven by the technology sector and geopolitical relief.

Source: www.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento do Treasury Note de 10 anos (US10Y) fechar qualquer sessão abaixo de 5,00% até 31/12/2026, conforme dados divulgados pelo Tesouro dos EUA (treasury.gov) ou pelo Federal Reserve. Resolve como 'Não' caso não ocorra esse fechamento até a data limite.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.

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Will the 10-year US Treasury yield close below 5.00% before December… — 68% No · VoxFi