Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Selic rate end the year 2026 below 14% per year?
With the Selic currently at 15% and the BC signaling maintenance for an extended period, there is debate about the trajectory of… 40 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: December 19, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
With the Selic currently at 15% and the BC signaling maintenance for an extended period, there is debate about the trajectory of interest rates until the end of the year, including proposals for a social pact for interest rate cuts linked to electoral campaigns.
Source: oglobo.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na decisão oficial do Copom na última reunião de 2026, divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br). Se a meta da Selic estiver abaixo de 14% ao final de dezembro de 2026, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.