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Will the US Federal Reserve raise the benchmark interest rate at any FOMC meeting by December 2026?

Economists and analysts have once again debated the possibility of a US interest rate hike amid persistent inflation, with producer… 25 opinions, 56% No

  • Yes — 44%
  • No — 56%

Deadline: December 11, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions

Resolution rules

Economists and analysts have once again debated the possibility of a US interest rate hike amid persistent inflation, with producer prices (PPI) rising and oil above US$100.

Source: www.bbc.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar aumento da taxa-alvo dos fed funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC realizada até 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov. Caso contrário, resolvido como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.

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Will the US Federal Reserve raise the benchmark interest rate at any… — 56% No · VoxFi