Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the US government send seized Bitfinex bitcoins to exchanges by October 31, 2026?
Consider on-chain movements of BTC seized by the US government between October 10 and October 31. 79 opinions, 75% No
- Yes — 25%
- No — 75%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider on-chain movements of BTC seized by the US government between October 10 and October 31.
Source: www.coindesk.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Arkham Intelligence, o Departamento de Justiça dos EUA (DOJ) ou a CoinDesk confirmarem a transferência de bitcoins apreendidos do caso Bitfinex para carteiras de exchanges até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.