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Will China suspend rare earth export restrictions to Japan by November 30, 2026?

Monitors Chinese government decisions on foreign trade of strategic minerals between 10/10 and 11/30. 79 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Monitors Chinese government decisions on foreign trade of strategic minerals between 10/10 and 11/30.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 10/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo da China anunciar oficialmente a revogação ou suspensão das restrições de exportação de terras raras destinadas ao Japão até 30/11/2026, conforme publicação do Ministério do Comércio chinês (MOFCOM) ou Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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