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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2026?

Economists surveyed in a Reuters poll expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged in 2026, citing uncertainties such as the conflict with… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Economists surveyed in a Reuters poll expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged in 2026, citing uncertainties such as the conflict with Iran and projected PCE inflation of 3.5% per year.

Source: whbl.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Fed não realizar nenhum corte ou aumento de juros até a reunião de dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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