Politics · Open for opinions
Will the United States Congress pass specific federal legislation to regulate prediction markets by March 2027?
The CEO of Kalshi publicly stated support for more regulation, and U.S. 69 opinions, 90% No
- Yes — 10%
- No — 90%
Deadline: March 25, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
The CEO of Kalshi publicly stated support for more regulation, and U.S. lawmakers and states have intensified attention on the prediction markets sector.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se um projeto de lei com regulamentação específica para mercados de previsão (prediction markets) for aprovado por ambas as casas do Congresso dos EUA e sancionado pelo presidente até 25/03/2027, conforme registro oficial em congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 90% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 10 points, a wrong one costs about 90.