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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Selic rate be below 15% per year by March 2027?

Gazeta do Povo reports that the Central Bank keeps interest rates at 15% 'for a prolonged period', defying the Lula government. 41 opinions, 73% No

  • Yes — 27%
  • No — 73%

Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 41 opinions

Resolution rules

Gazeta do Povo reports that the Central Bank keeps interest rates at 15% 'for a prolonged period', defying the Lula government. The BC's hawkish stance suggests distant interest rate cuts on the horizon.

Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer comunicado do Copom publicado até 20/03/2027 fixar a taxa Selic em valor inferior a 15% ao ano. Fonte oficial: site do Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br), comunicados do Copom.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.

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Will the Selic rate be below 15% per year by March 2027? — 73% No · VoxFi