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Technology · Open for opinions

Will GPT-6 Astra be formally evaluated as AGI by any independent AI benchmark organization by February 2027?

NVIDIA's CEO declared that AGI arrived with GPT-6 Astra, but the claim came from a hardware manufacturer with commercial interest,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

NVIDIA's CEO declared that AGI arrived with GPT-6 Astra, but the claim came from a hardware manufacturer with commercial interest, sparking debate about the validity of the claim.

Source: antihype.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se pelo menos uma organização reconhecida de avaliação de IA (como METR, ARC Evals ou equivalente de reputação similar) publicar relatório formal classificando o GPT-6 Astra como AGI até 28/02/2027. Resolve 'Não' caso nenhuma organização independente publique tal avaliação no prazo. Fonte: publicações oficiais das organizações de benchmark.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will GPT-6 Astra be formally evaluated as AGI by any independent AI… — 50% Yes · VoxFi