Finance · Open for opinions
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf. 79 opinions, 71% No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
- Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate — 1%
- Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate — 1%
- No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate — 27%
- No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate — 71%
Deadline: November 4, 2026 at 04:59 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.