Finance · Open for opinions
Will the accumulated IPCA for 2026 be within the inflation target tolerance interval (between 1.5% and 4.5%)?
The National Monetary Council (CMN) sets the inflation target and its tolerance interval. 88 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
The National Monetary Council (CMN) sets the inflation target and its tolerance interval. IBGE releases the monthly and year-to-date accumulated IPCA, with the December result usually published in mid-January of the following year.
Source: g1.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026, conforme divulgação oficial do IBGE em janeiro de 2027. O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o índice acumulado ficar entre 1,5% e 4,5% (intervalo de tolerância do CMN).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.