Politics · Open for opinions
Will more than 5 American jurisdictions formally prohibit election officials from betting on prediction markets before the November 2026 elections?
Election officials in Maricopa County (Arizona) and other counties are already barring betting servers from prediction markets ahead… 32 opinions, 75% No
- Yes — 25%
- No — 75%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 32 opinions
Resolution rules
Election officials in Maricopa County (Arizona) and other counties are already barring betting servers from prediction markets ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, a move that could expand.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se mais de 5 condados, estados ou outras jurisdições americanas publicarem proibição formal (portaria, lei ou diretriz oficial) impedindo funcionários eleitorais de participar de mercados de previsão antes de 3 de novembro de 2026, conforme reportado por ao menos duas fontes de mídia verificável ou anúncios oficiais das jurisdições.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.