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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the conflict between the US/allies and Iran result in a formal ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Secretary Bessent stated he believes the American economy will overcome the conflict with Iran. 26 opinions, 54% Yes

  • Yes — 54%
  • No — 46%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions

Resolution rules

Secretary Bessent stated he believes the American economy will overcome the conflict with Iran. The US News snippet (07/27/2026) mentions a 'pause' in the conflict with Iran as one of the themes of the busiest economic week.

Source: www.usnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se um acordo formal de cessar-fogo ou armistício envolvendo o Irã e os EUA (ou coalizão aliada) for anunciado oficialmente por ambas as partes ou pela ONU até 31/10/2026. Fonte: comunicados oficiais dos governos envolvidos ou resolução do Conselho de Segurança da ONU.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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