Finance · Open for opinions
Will the US dollar (USD/BRL) according to the Central Bank's PTAX close below R$5.30 on December 31, 2026?
The real accumulated an 8.4% appreciation in 2026, but recent political events caused a temporary 11% depreciation in the currency… 88 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
The real accumulated an 8.4% appreciation in 2026, but recent political events caused a temporary 11% depreciation in the currency and a spike in interest rate contracts, leaving the year-end exchange rate scenario uncertain.
Source: www.bloomberglinea.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na taxa PTAX de venda do dólar americano (USD/BRL) divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) no fechamento de 31/12/2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a PTAX de venda for inferior a R$5,30.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.