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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Polymarket's trading volume in 2026 be higher than the total volume recorded in 2025, according to data from independent trackers?

According to a Reuters Breakingviews analysis published in September 2026, Polymarket's trading volume is 3x higher than the same… 40 opinions, 88% Yes

  • Yes — 88%
  • No — 13%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions

Resolution rules

According to a Reuters Breakingviews analysis published in September 2026, Polymarket's trading volume is 3x higher than the same period in 2025, even after a drop from election peaks, suggesting a new baseline of activity has been established.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Dados de volume de negociação do Polymarket publicados por rastreadores independentes reconhecidos (como Dune Analytics ou The Block) comparando o total anual de 2025 com o acumulado de 2026 até 31/12/2026, divulgados até 2027-01-31.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 88% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 12 points, a wrong one costs about 88.

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Will Polymarket's trading volume in 2026 be higher than the total… — 88% Yes · VoxFi