Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the volume of political bets on Polymarket exceed $2.5 billion in September 2026?
With an average of $2 billion monthly in politics in 2026, Polymarket is seeing increased liquidity in the sector. 70 opinions, 54% No
- Yes — 46%
- No — 54%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
With an average of $2 billion monthly in politics in 2026, Polymarket is seeing increased liquidity in the sector.
Source: www.pewresearch.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 26/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume de negociações na categoria de política da Polymarket no mês fechado de setembro de 2026 for superior a US$ 2,5 bilhões, segundo dados do Dune Analytics ou relatório do The Block publicado até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.