Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial dollar (USD/BRL) reach or exceed R$ 6.20 in any trading session by December 31, 2026?
Folha provides real-time coverage of the impacts of political negotiations in Brasília and decisions by the branches of government on… 85 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Folha provides real-time coverage of the impacts of political negotiations in Brasília and decisions by the branches of government on the Brazilian economic scenario, including exchange rate behavior amid fiscal and political uncertainties at the end of 2026.
Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a taxa de câmbio do dólar comercial (USD/BRL) atingir ou ultrapassar R$ 6,20 em qualquer sessão de negociação entre 25/10/2026 e 31/12/2026, conforme dados da PTAX divulgados pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br). Resolve 'Não' caso a cotação não alcance esse patamar no período.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.