Science · Open for opinions
Will BepiColombo enter a stable orbit around Mercury by December 31, 2026?
BepiColombo's arrival at Mercury began on September 7, 2026. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
BepiColombo's arrival at Mercury began on September 7, 2026. The arrival sequence is described by ESA as one of the most complex ever performed by a European planetary mission, involving multiple maneuvers before the final orbital insertion.
Source: www.esa.int
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a ESA publicar confirmação oficial em esa.int de que a BepiColombo atingiu órbita estável de ciência ao redor de Mercúrio até 31/12/2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso a data passe sem essa confirmação.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.