Finance · Open for opinions
Will the total accumulated volume of non-sports prediction markets exceed $15 billion in 2026?
The volume of non-sports prediction markets reached $10 billion, with Polymarket ($1B+) and Kalshi ($950M) leading the sector. 34 opinions, 53% No
- Yes — 47%
- No — 53%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 34 opinions
Resolution rules
The volume of non-sports prediction markets reached $10 billion, with Polymarket ($1B+) and Kalshi ($950M) leading the sector. Accelerated growth and competition among platforms could boost total volume by the end of 2026.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se dados agregados verificáveis (Dune Analytics, relatórios das plataformas líderes ou cobertura especializada) confirmarem que o volume anual acumulado de mercados de previsão não-esportivos em 2026 superou US$ 15 bilhões até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.