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Finance · Open for opinions

Will US inflation (annual CPI) exceed 4% in any month of the fourth quarter of 2026?

US inflation is at 3.4% per year. 35 opinions, 57% No

  • Yes — 43%
  • No — 57%

Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 35 opinions

Resolution rules

US inflation is at 3.4% per year. Economists project that the US-Iran conflict will raise energy and goods costs, further pressuring prices in the 4th quarter of 2026.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) divulgar CPI anual acima de 4,0% para outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. Resolução 'Não' caso nenhum dos três meses registre tal patamar.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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Will US inflation (annual CPI) exceed 4% in any month of the fourth… — 57% No · VoxFi