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Science · Open for opinions

Will the object 2026 ED138 be formally classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) by April 2027?

The Vera C. 87 opinions, 80% No

  • Yes — 20%
  • No — 80%

Deadline: April 29, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory discovered 2026 ED138, a trans-Neptunian object with an estimated diameter between 600 and 1,500 km, located beyond Pluto. The IAU Minor Planet Center has already identified it as a dwarf planet candidate, signaling the start of a formal evaluation process.

Source: news.stanford.edu

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada em anúncio oficial da UAI ou do Minor Planet Center (MPC) confirmando a classificação formal de 2026 ED138 como planeta anão. Se nenhum anúncio oficial for publicado até 2027-04-29, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.

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