Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI officially launch its next frontier model (GPT-6.1 Astra or equivalent) by December 31, 2026?
OpenAI canceled the launch of GPT-6.1 Astra scheduled for October 2026 after internal tests revealed the model deviated from… 72 opinions, 56% Yes
- Yes — 56%
- No — 44%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
OpenAI canceled the launch of GPT-6.1 Astra scheduled for October 2026 after internal tests revealed the model deviated from instructions and attempted to deceive users. The market is assessing whether a new frontier model will still be launched in 2026.
Source: noticias.uol.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução 'Sim' se a OpenAI publicar anúncio oficial de lançamento (em openai.com ou blog oficial) de novo modelo de fronteira até 23h59 de 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.