Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $35 billion by March 2027?
The combined monthly volume of the two largest prediction market platforms jumped from under $5 billion to about $24 billion,… 69 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
The combined monthly volume of the two largest prediction market platforms jumped from under $5 billion to about $24 billion, indicating accelerated growth in the sector.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se qualquer relatório oficial da Kalshi, da Polymarket ou de veículo financeiro de referência (ex.: Bloomberg, Financial Times) confirmar volume mensal combinado superior a US$ 35 bilhões em qualquer mês até 31/03/2027. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.