Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish new formal guidelines or rules specifically for the regulation of prediction markets by the end of 2026?
Conflicting court decisions on Kalshi and Polymarket pressure the CFTC to clarify its regulatory position on event/prediction… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Conflicting court decisions on Kalshi and Polymarket pressure the CFTC to clarify its regulatory position on event/prediction markets under the Commodity Exchange Act.
Source: abc45.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a CFTC publicar no Federal Register (federalregister.gov) regra final, regra proposta ou orientação formal (guidance) direcionada especificamente a plataformas de mercados de previsão até 2026-12-31. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.