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Will President Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in the RealClearPolitics poll average by November 30, 2026?
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute polling and analysis from NewsNation and Washington Week indicate a drop in Trump's approval driven… 72 opinions, 63% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 63%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute polling and analysis from NewsNation and Washington Week indicate a drop in Trump's approval driven by dissatisfaction with inflation, fuel prices, and the economic effects of tariffs.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na média de aprovação presidencial exibida em realclearpolitics.com (aba 'Trump Job Approval'). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a média registrar valor abaixo de 40,0% em qualquer data até 30/11/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.