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Will US inflation exceed 4% per year in any month of the first quarter of 2027?

US inflation is at 3.4% and the US-Iran conflict is expected to put further upward pressure on prices in the short term, according to… 35 opinions, 57% No

  • Yes — 43%
  • No — 57%

Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 35 opinions

Resolution rules

US inflation is at 3.4% and the US-Iran conflict is expected to put further upward pressure on prices in the short term, according to analysts. GDP is growing at only 1.5% annualized, limiting the capacity to absorb shocks. The Fed expects to contain inflation with interest rate hikes.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no índice CPI (Consumer Price Index, variação anual) divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) referente a janeiro, fevereiro ou março de 2027. Basta um dos meses registrar CPI anual acima de 4,0% para o mercado resolver 'Sim'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.

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