Science · Open for opinions
Will triple-junction perovskite solar cells achieve an efficiency greater than 32% by March 2027?
In September 2026, researchers announced that smoother perovskite films raised the efficiency of three-layer solar cells to 30.1%, a… 71 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, researchers announced that smoother perovskite films raised the efficiency of three-layer solar cells to 30.1%, a new record. The market questions whether the technology will advance by another 2 percentage points in the next six months.
Source: phys.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução 'Sim' se qualquer publicação científica revisada por pares ou anúncio oficial de laboratório registrar eficiência certificada superior a 32% em células solares de perovskita de três camadas até 31/03/2027. Fonte primária: NREL Best Research-Cell Efficiency Chart ou publicação equivalente em periódico indexado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.