Finance · Open for opinions
Will the US enter a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of GDP contraction) by the end of 2026?
Economists estimate the broader economic cost of the conflict with Iran between $400 billion and $500 billion, while tariffs and… 41 opinions, 71% No
- Yes — 29%
- No — 71%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 41 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists estimate the broader economic cost of the conflict with Iran between $400 billion and $500 billion, while tariffs and inflation pressure the economy. The Fed raised interest rates in September 2026 to curb inflation, increasing the risk of a slowdown.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publicar dados preliminares ou revisados mostrando crescimento negativo do PIB real dos EUA em dois trimestres consecutivos até 31/12/2026. Fonte: bea.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.