Finance · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation in October 2026 exceed 3.5% year-over-year?
In September 2026, the PCE — the Fed's primary inflation gauge — rose 3.6% over 12 months and 0.5% for the month, the fastest pace… 89 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, the PCE — the Fed's primary inflation gauge — rose 3.6% over 12 months and 0.5% for the month, the fastest pace since May. Gasoline prices remain pressured by the Middle East conflict, maintaining broad inflationary pressure on consumer prices.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Dado divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis do Departamento de Comércio dos EUA (bea.gov) referente ao índice de Preços de Despesas de Consumo Pessoal (PCE) de outubro de 2026. O mercado resolve 'Sim' se a variação anual do PCE de outubro for superior a 3,5%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.