Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass federal legislation classifying or regulating prediction markets as gambling by February 28, 2027?
According to CNN (08/30/2026), a growing bipartisan coalition in Congress, allied with the casino industry, Native American tribes,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to CNN (08/30/2026), a growing bipartisan coalition in Congress, allied with the casino industry, Native American tribes, and addiction specialists, is pushing for regulation or prohibition of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket.
Source: www.cnn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se projeto de lei federal com essa classificação ou regulação for aprovado por ambas as câmaras do Congresso e sancionado pelo presidente dos EUA até 28/02/2027. Fonte: registro oficial do Congresso (congress.gov) e diário oficial americano.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.